Friday, January 15, 2016

Stock Market Trend Analysis

Inventory Marketplace Trend Dialogue


Inventory bazaar trend dialogue is another than honorable career a bull or a bear. Markets generate many counter-trend moves that confuse the validity of the extensive trend all the interval. It is useful to decide whether commodities or currencies are gaining traction because it implies that either stable times are ahead or inflation is on the rise.

Trend Analysis for Day Trading

Trend analysis is a regular and important part of day trading. Trend trading usually involves a dual moving average of a short moving average and a long moving average. But, there are some tools and procedures that investors can manipulate to decipher marketplace movements and cook up chicamin trading.


Presidential Cycle


The presidential cycle has proven to be extremely accurate over extent. It is not so all the more approximately trends as it is approximately cycles. The presidential cycle follows that the inventory mart peaks during the year of a presidential crusade. The cycle indeed begins with a late Head of the state's ahead year in business. The Head of the state makes his hard economic decisions in the head year, cutting programs and putting modern programs in place. The economy generally improves in the second and third year. Peaking occurs at the time of the next presidential election and garners him more votes as the economy remains strong.


Moving Average Trends


Individual trends are often measured by moving averages. Moving averages, say a 200-day moving average, are computed by averaging the closing price of the previous 200 days. Sometimes moving averages are weighted exponentially, or by other scientific calculations, but the point remains the same. Stocks are bought and sold on a long-term basis if they are above the 200-day moving average. Traders also find significance in the 20-, 50- and 320-day moving averages.


Trading Long Cycle Trends


The Russian economist Nikolai Kondratieff expounded a theory detailing a long, 30-year cycle with commodities and financials in alternating leadership roles. Long trend theories are sometimes considered part of fundamental analysis. It is up to the investor to recall counter-trends as a de rigueur detail of a extreme mart act. Appreciate that an examination is never precise until hardy after the trend shift. Trend argument can stretch over generations or impel in one-minute intervals.



Traders use either one-minute or five-minute prices rather than closing prices. The theory is that short movements are random and thus short trading opportunities occur as a matter Sure.


The Triple Moving Average Analysis


The triple moving average analysis technique recognizes that in a long-term bull or bear market trend, short and intermediate trends go through 'mean reversion' or periods of flat or down trading. Triple moving averages require that the long-term trend be identified using a long moving average. Once a long trend is ascertained, important intermediate and short-term trend movements can be bought and sold. Losses should be minimal as long as the long-term trend is in place.